COT Report: US Dollar Index Speculators push Bets to most bearish level since 2021
Here are the latest links to our coverage of the Commitment of Traders data changes. Data updated through September 16th.
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US Dollar Index Speculators push Bets to most bearish level since 2021
The COT currency market speculator bets were overall higher this week as seven out of the eleven currency markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the currency markets was the Australian Dollar (28,071 contracts), the British Pound (27,025 contracts), the Brazilian Real (6,135 contracts), the Mexican Peso (4,261 contracts), the Swiss Franc (2,799 contracts), the Canadian Dollar (1,740 contracts) and Bitcoin (488 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The currencies seeing declines in speculator bets on the week were the Japanese Yen (-30,232 contracts), the New Zealand Dollar (-9,261 contracts), the US Dollar Index (-7,336 contracts) and with the EuroFX (-7,918 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
Weekly Market Price Changes
VIX, Nasdaq & Silver lead weekly price gains
Coffee, Palladium & Steel lead the price declines
See Weekly Price Changes for major markets and their performance.
COT Speculator Extremes
Speculator Extremes: Lean Hogs, Brazil Real & EAFE lead weekly Bullish & Bearish Positions
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. See the charts…
COT Bonds
COT Bonds Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led higher by SOFR 3-Months & 5-Year Bonds
The COT bond market speculator bets were overall higher this week as six out of the nine bond markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the bond markets was the SOFR 3-Months (167,521 contracts) with the 5-Year Bonds (117,989 contracts), the Fed Funds (87,943 contracts), the 10-Year Bonds (38,673 contracts), the Ultra 10-Year Bonds (8,102 contracts) and the US Treasury Bonds (4,470 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The bond markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were the SOFR 1-Month (-88,017 contracts), the 2-Year Bonds (-28,509 contracts) and the Ultra Treasury Bonds (-14,274 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
COT Metals
COT Metals Charts: Weekly Speculator Changes led by Gold & Copper
The COT metals markets speculator bets were mixed this week as three out of the six metals markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the metals was Gold (4,670 contracts) with Copper (3,107 contracts) and Platinum (847 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Silver (-2,399 contracts), Palladium (-270 contracts) and with Steel (-28 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
COT Energy
COT Energy Charts: Speculator Bets led higher by WTI Crude Oil
COT energy market speculator bets were overall higher this week as four out of the six energy markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the energy markets was WTI Crude Oil (16,865 contracts) with Gasoline (2,538 contracts), Brent Oil (1,496 contracts) and the Bloomberg Commodity Index (30 contracts) also having positive weeks.
The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Natural Gas (-16,397 contracts) and with Heating Oil (-474 contracts) also seeing slightly lower bets on the week.
COT Soft Commodities
COT Soft Commodities Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led higher by Sugar & Corn
The COT soft commodities speculator bets were overall decisively higher this week as ten out of the eleven softs markets we cover had higher speculator contracts.
Leading the gains for the softs markets was Sugar (33,266 contracts) with Corn (18,075 contracts), Soybean Oil (13,621 contracts), Soybeans (12,864 contracts), Wheat (9,980 contracts), Cotton (8,685 contracts), Soybean Meal (4,351 contracts), Lean Hogs (3,514 contracts), Coffee (1,659 contracts) and Cocoa (1,391 contracts) also seeing positive weeks.
The only market with a decline in speculator bets was Live Cattle with a drop by -4,952 contracts on the week.
Have a Wonderful Trading Week
By InvestMacro.com
*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators, non-commercials (for-profit traders), commercial traders and small traders were positioned in the futures markets.
The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).
Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).