COT Report: Yen Speculator Bets jump after intervention, CAD & AUD Bets continue higher as USD Index Bets fall
Here are the latest links to our coverage of the Commitment of Traders data changes. Data updated through May 5th.
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Yen Speculator Bets jump after intervention, CAD & AUD Bets continue higher as USD Index Bets fall
The COT currency market speculator bets were overall slightly lower this week as five out of the eleven currency markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the currency markets was the Japanese Yen (40,321 contracts) with the Canadian Dollar (23,817 contracts), the Brazilian Real (20,354 contracts), the Australian Dollar (6,805 contracts) and the Swiss Franc (700 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The currencies seeing declines in speculator bets on the week were the Mexican Peso (-5,696 contracts), the US Dollar Index (-3,815 contracts), the EuroFX (-3,510 contracts), the British Pound (-3,269 contracts), the New Zealand Dollar (-1,929 contracts) and Bitcoin (-951 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
Weekly Market Price Changes
Cocoa Futures, Silver & MSCI Emerging Mkts Mini lead weekly price gains
WTI Crude Oil, Brent Oil & Coffee lead the price declines
See Weekly Price Changes for major markets and their performance.
COT Speculator Extremes
Speculator Extremes: Cotton, SOFR 3-Months lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category.
To signify an extreme position, we use the Strength Index (also known as the COT Index) of each instrument, a common method of measuring COT data. The Strength Index is simply a comparison of current trader positions against the range of positions over the previous 3 years. We use over 80 percent as extremely bullish and under 20 percent as extremely bearish. See the charts…
COT Bonds
COT Bonds Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by 5-Year Bonds & Fed Funds
The COT bond market speculator bets were overall slightly higher this week as five out of the nine bond markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the bond markets was the 5-Year Bonds (100,106 contracts) with the Fed Funds (45,127 contracts), the 2-Year Bonds (35,934 contracts), the Ultra Treasury Bonds (34,850 contracts) and the 10-Year Bonds (23,868 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The bond markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were the SOFR 3-Months (-347,436 contracts), the SOFR 1-Month (-97,991 contracts), the Ultra 10-Year Bonds (-77,320 contracts) and the US Treasury Bonds (-59,287 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
COT Metals
COT Metals Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by Gold
The COT metals markets speculator bets were overall lower this week as just one out of the six metals markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the metals was Gold with a gain of 3,732 contracts on the week.
The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Steel (-849 contracts), Platinum (-765 contracts), Copper (-432 contracts), Palladium (-12 contracts) and Silver (-268 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
COT Energy
COT Energy Charts: Speculators push Brent Crude Oil Bearish Bets to lowest since October
COT energy market speculator bets were were mixed this week as three out of the six energy markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the energy markets was Brent Oil (16,333 contracts) with Gasoline (2,677 contracts) and Heating Oil (2,022 contracts) also having positive weeks.
The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were WTI Crude (-13,125 contracts), Bloomberg Index (-1,552 contracts) and Natural Gas (-373 contracts) also seeing lower bets on the week.
COT Soft Commodities
COT Soft Commodities Charts: Corn Speculator Bets surge higher for 3rd Week to 1-Year High
The COT soft commodities speculator bets were overall higher this week as seven out of the eleven softs markets we cover had higher speculator contracts.
Leading the gains for the softs markets was Corn (92,644 contracts) with Sugar (48,432 contracts), Soybeans (38,259 contracts), Cotton (19,741 contracts), Cocoa (3,409 contracts) and Live Cattle (3,381 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The markets with the declines in speculator bets this week were Wheat (-17,534 contracts) with Lean Hogs (-9,721 contracts), Soybean Meal (-8,387 contracts), Soybean Oil (-2,925 contracts) and Coffee (2,599 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
Have a Wonderful Trading Week
By InvestMacro.com
*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators, non-commercials (for-profit traders), commercial traders and small traders were positioned in the futures markets.
The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).
Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).